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Is the United States heading for a recession? . The nation's unemployment rate did tick up last month, to 4.1% from 4%, though that is still quite low. The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker now indicates the economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, after showing 2.3% growth just days earlier.
Us Recession 2025 News Articles Alexis . economy is on relatively solid footing heading into 2025 The Sahm Rule can be helpful as a potential forewarning of a recession before it's called by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the organization that makes the official designation.